Data as of Jan 27, 2026, 2:00 PM

K

Kalshi

10 markets

Market Probability Details

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

93%

Vol: $296 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

85%

Vol: $294 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

72%

Vol: $172 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

59%

Vol: $481 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

48%

Vol: $2,222 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

38%

Vol: $2,338 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

25%

Vol: $323 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

21%

Vol: $274 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

14%

Vol: $138 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

11%

Vol: $201 Ends: Jan 4, 2030 View on Kalshi

M

Metaculus

5 markets

Market Probability Details

Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? US job gain from Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 less than 100k?

73%

112 forecasters Ends: Mar 5, 2026 View on Metaculus

Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? US job gain from Dec 2025 to Feb 2026 less than 100k?

60%

99 forecasters Ends: Jan 16, 2026 View on Metaculus

Will the community prediction be higher than 55.00% on 2025-12-19 for the Metaculus question "Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?"? Will community prediction rise for "Argentina's YoY inflation below 30% for December 2025?"?

42%

89 forecasters Ends: Dec 9, 2025 View on Metaculus

Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026? Will US GDP decline in Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

27%

768 forecasters Ends: Nov 25, 2026 View on Metaculus

Will Sam Hammond win his bet with John Luttig that US GDP growth will average above 5% from 2028 to 2033? Will Sam Hammond win his bet with John Luttig about GDP growth?

12%

13 forecasters Ends: Dec 31, 2033 View on Metaculus